Comments on: Only An Idiot Would Take Up Nate Silver’s Bet

By: Ryan

Ryan — Fri, 24 Jul 2009 22:13:11 +0000

Except the average temperature has been cooler even if it is clear that such a short period is clearly statistically insignificant.

Hinderaker and Drudge are engaged in tit for tat. I didn’t see Silver pointing out that spokesmen of the left were full of shit when, for example, they were making outrageous claims in regard to Hurricane Katrina.

By: Jason Underdown

Jason Underdown — Fri, 24 Jul 2009 20:26:54 +0000

You wrote:

“So on one hand Silver is upset because climate skeptics (according to him) don’t understand statistics and the concept of anecdotal evidence – and then proceeds to make a bet over short term temperatures – the exact anecdotal evidence he is railing about.”

It seems to me that the point he is making is that even their anecdotal evidence does not support their claim that global warming is nonsense.

By: Tyson Bailey

Tyson Bailey — Thu, 23 Jul 2009 02:59:51 +0000

just wanted to let you know I read your blog for the first time. Keep it real

By: Assistant Village Idiot

Assistant Village Idiot — Wed, 22 Jul 2009 00:39:46 +0000

Whoa. There are usually more days above the average than below it in any given year. This may sound counterintuitive, but it is because the floor – how far below average a day can go – is usually greater than the ceiling. A series of very hot days, say above 100, are 20 degrees above the mean. A series of cold days, say 20 below, are 40 degrees less than the mean. Check the record high and record low for scattered days around the year to see what I mean. So it can get colder, but Silver still win his bet.

By: Ryan

Ryan — Mon, 20 Jul 2009 21:04:07 +0000

Well either way it will probably be good for your site’s seo. Should get a fair amount of traffic + links if you can build some buzz around it.